Sunday, February 27, 2011

February 27th Game Preview: Atlanta Hawks (35-23) @ Portland TrailBlazers (33-25)

TIP-OFF: 10:30pm (EST)

TELEVISION
: ESPN, ESPN3

CHAT: Daily Dime Live

GAME NOTES: Hawks/Trailblazers

ATLANTA INJURY REPORT: None.

PORTLAND INJURY REPORT: Marcus Camby, Greg Oden, and Elliot Williams are out.

BY THE NUMBERS

2010-11
Poss Off Eff eFG% FT Rate OR% TO%
ATL (off)
89.6
1.072
50.4
21.2
23.8 15.1
POR (def)
88.5 1.073 50.8
31.9
27.8
15.3

2010-11
Poss Off Eff eFG% FT Rate OR% TO%
ATL (def)
89.7
1.06
49 27.2
25.1 14.2
POR (off)
88.5 1.08
48.3
22.4
29.6
12.8

OTHER PERSPECTIVES
: Portland Roundball Society, Blazers Edge

FOR ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY: Portland -5, 183.5 o/u

PREVIOUSLY...the Portland Trailblazers beat the Denver Nuggets 107-106 in overtime on Friday night. It was Portland's seventh win in eight games with the lone loss coming in overtime against the Lakers.

Scheduling quirk: the Hawks and Trailblazers have not played each other in over 15 months.

Analytical quirk leading to tactical error: Larry Drew plans on keeping Josh Powell ahead of the far, far superior* player Zaza Pachulia in the rotation in part due to Powell grabbing seven rebounds in a quarter's worth of garbage time in Oakland Friday night.

Larry Drew:
"I’m looking for certain things out of our big guys. I need presence, I need physicality, I need rebounding, I need screens being set to open up our perimeters.

Josh Powell came in and did a good job for us. He came in and got eight rebounds in 18 minutes."
Looking at the facts here, Josh Powell last posted a higher rebounding rate in a season than Zaza Pachulia...in 2007-08. Powell has never posted a higher offensive rebounding rate than Pachulia and has a lower offensive rebounding rate, defensive rebounding rate, True Shooting Percentage, assist rate, steal rate, and block rate than Pachulia this season.

Oh, and the Hawks are 14.9 points per 100 possessions worse this season with Powell on the court than with him on the bench. The degree to which Powell has hurt the team with his play may be extraordinary but that Powell has hurt the team with his play should surprise no one.

*Which is not to say good, in absolute terms.

Consider this an open thread for all pre-game, in-game, and post-game (but pre-recap) thoughts.

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